Can
Asia lead?
Power ambitions and
global governance
in the twenty-first century
AmitAv AChAryA*
‘Has
Asia been doing enough in leading world opinion on how to manage, and in
particular not to mismanage, the global challenges we face today, including that
of terrorism, violence, and global injustice?’ asked Indian Nobel laureate Amartya
Sen at a forum in Bangkok in 2007.1 Much has been said and written about the ‘rise’
of Asia; very little about Asia’s contribution to global governance.2 To be sure, many Asian nations, not just the
major Asian powers of China, Japan and India, but also South Korea, Indonesia,
Singapore and Malaysia, are demanding a greater voice in international affairs,
both for themselves and for the region. Asian views of inter-national order are
changing in keeping with the region’s economic and political ascendancy.
The founding leaders of modern Asian states were preoccupied with bringing down
colonial rule, protesting against western dominance, asserting their
sovereignty and equality, and in many cases demanding concessions and economic
aid from the West. Hence their ideas about international order were imbued with
what might be called ‘defensive sovereignty’.
But if one takes the shift in world power to Asia as an incontrovertible fact
or an irreversible trend,3 should one not expect Asian ideas about and
approaches to international relations to change as well? One might hope, for
example, that instead of pursuing defensive sovereignty, Asia would harness its
substantial economic achievements over recent decades to seeking out a share of
global leadership in addressing the world’s problems. Yet, as this article
finds, the leading Asian powers—China, India and Japan—while
seeking global leadership, seem to be more concerned with developing and
legiti-mizing their national power aspirations (using the traditional notions
and means of international relations) than with contributing to global
governance.4
* An earlier version of this article
was prepared for the S. T. Lee Project on Global Governance at the Lee Kuan Yew
School of Public Policy, Singapore. The author would like to thank Ann Florini
and Kishore Mahbubani for comments on an earlier draft.
1 ‘Eastern influence badly needed’,
Bangkok Post, 1 April 2007, p. 3.2 Kishore Mahbubani, in The new
Asian hemisphere: the irresistible shift of global power to the East (New
York: Public
Affairs,
2008) and in his other writings, addresses the implications of Asia’s
rise for global governance. 3 For a sceptical note on Asia’s
rise, see Minxin Pei, ‘Bamboozled: don’t
believe the Asia hype’, Foreign Policy,
July–Aug. 2009, pp. 32–36.
4 I use the term ‘global
governance’
to refer to ‘collective
efforts to identify, understand or address worldwide problems that respect
no national or regional boundaries and go beyond the capacity of individual
States to solve’
(emphasis added). This builds upon a definition offered by Thomas Weiss and
Ramesh Thakur and found in Definition of basic concepts and terminologies in
governance and public administration (New York: United Nations Economic and
Social Council, 2006), p. 4.
International Affairs 87:4 (2011) 851–869 © 2011 The Author(s). International
Affairs ©
2011 The Royal Institute of International Affairs. Published by Blackwell
Publishing Ltd, 9600 Garsington Road, Oxford ox4 2dq, UK and 350 Main Street,
Malden, MA 02148, USA.
A central challenge facing global
order today is the seeming contradiction between the desire of Asia’s
leading states to be recognized and treated as global powers on the one hand,
and their limited and hesitant contribution to global governance on the other.
The problem is compounded by an emerging element of realpolitik in the
international behaviour of China, Japan and India; resource constraints on the
part of India and, to a lesser extent, China; the legacies of India’s
and China’s
historical self-identification and involvement with the so-called ‘Third
World’;
political constraints on Japan’s international role; and a certain
legitimacy deficit attaching to each of these powers in its own regional
neighbourhood.
Asia is hugely diverse and there is
no consensus over where its boundaries lie. There is really no single
conception, voice or identity of Asia.5 To speak of an Asian conception of, or Asian
contribution to, international order and global governance would be a gross
overgeneralization. What one tends to find instead are national
conceptions, put forward by the ruling elites in various Asian states.
Moreover, conceptual thinking within Asia about its role in international
relations is hardly plentiful. A desire to increase Asian leadership of global
institutions is growing within these countries; but there is no coherent Asian
thinking on global governance. While Europe’s intelligentsia and policy community
speak of its role as a ‘global normative power’,
in Asia a collective regional idea about world order is yet to develop.
National or regional ideas or role
conceptions about international order are not given or constant. They are
shaped and reshaped continually by domestic and external developments, such as
economic growth and crisis, war and peace. While this holds true anywhere, in a
rapidly transforming region like Asia, where the most dramatic shifts in the
global distribution of economic and military power are taking place, change is
even more difficult to predict and account for. For example, Chinese, Indian
and even Japanese role conceptions of international relations and world order
have changed in significant ways since the early years after the Second World
War, reflecting changes in their domestic politics and in their economic
capacity and policy, and the impact of external developments such as the end of
the Cold War. India has abandoned its traditional concept of non-alignment, and
further, some would argue, has moved significantly away from the entire
Nehruvian approach. China has moved well beyond the tenets of Maoist socialist
internationalism to embrace a world-view best described as neo-Westphalian. An
equally significant shift is occurring in Japan as it pursues the idea of a ‘normal
state’,
with significant implications for its foreign policy and security framework.
5 Amitav
Acharya, ‘Asia
is not one’,
Journal of Asian Studies 69: 4, 2010, pp. 1001–13.
852
International Affairs 87: 4, 2011Copyright ©
2011 The Author(s). International Affairs © 2011 The Royal Institute of
International Affairs.
The
historical backdrop: conformist Japan, revisionist China, adaptive India
The shifting self-images and ‘national
role conceptions’6 of Asia’s three major players—China,
Japan and India—are a good starting point for an analysis of Asia’s
role in global governance.7 International Relations scholars usually speak
of ‘realism’
and ‘idealism’
(which incorporates elements of liberalism) as the two alternative ways of
describing the world-views of states and leaders. Realists take international
relations as a highly competitive game driven by considerations of national
interest, in which war remains a constant possibility and genuine international
cooperation highly improbable. Idealists/liberals are optimistic, believing
that conflict can be mitigated through the pacific effects of economic
interdependence, international institutions and shared democratic governance.
But these concepts, which derive from western theory and experience, do not do
justice to the ‘maverick’ or eclectic outlooks and approaches
of Asian leaders. For example, India’s Jawaharlal Nehru was foremost among
those nationalist leaders whose ideas about world order were eminently
compatible with Wilsonian liberal internationalism. Burma’s
leader Aung San was a self-professed internationalist who championed economic
interdependence and regional integration in Asia.8 But Nehru’s critics in Asia, such as Carlos
Romulo, former foreign secretary of the Philippines, who once accused him of
being a ‘starry-eyed
idealist’,
were not neces-sarily people who, as a realist might expect, dismissed regional
and international cooperation. Romulo was actually an active champion of
regional multilateral institutions. Realism, as some academic analysts argue,
may well be the dominant mode of thinking among Asia’s policy-making elite; but this has
not prevented Asian states from engaging in multilateral cooperation at the
global and, increas-ingly, regional levels, as the case of Singapore under Lee
Kuan Yew, foremost among Asia’s realist statesmen, attests.
Perhaps
a better way to look at postwar Asian thinking on international relations is to
assess how Asian states related to an international order which was practically
an extension of the ‘European international society’ and was overwhelmingly dominated by
the West. Here, despite some early rhetoric on Asian unity, there
6 The term ‘national role conception’
was coined by Kal Holsti to refer to ‘the policymakers’
own definitions of the general kinds of decisions, commitments, rules, and
actions suitable to their state, and of the functions, if any, their state
should perform on a continuing basis in the international system or in
subordinate regional systems. It is their “image” of the appropriate orientations or
functions of their state toward, or in, the exter-nal environment.’
See Kal J. Holsti, ‘National role conceptions in the study of foreign policy’,
International Studies Quarterly 14: 3, Sept. 1970, pp. 245–6.
Significantly for the purpose of this article, Holsti starts with interstate
relations in China during the Chou dynasty, and in India during the Maurya
period, to illustrate the concept, and considers non-alignment, balancer,
satiated and unsatiated (status quo and revisionist) powers as some of the
examples.
7 I leave out of this analysis the role conceptions of
Russia, Australia and the United States. They do influence Asian security, but
have less influence on Asia’s approach to global and regional
governance.
8 ‘I am an internationalist, but an
internationalist who does not all[ow] himself to be swept off the firm Earth … The one fact from which no nation, big
or small, can escape is the increasing universal interdependence of nations’:
Aung San, Burma’s challenge (South Okklapa, Burma: U Aung Gyi,
1974), pp. 192–3.
These remarks by Aung San are a far cry from the self-imposed autarchy and
isolationism of the military junta which came to rule the country.
remained significantly different
stances within the region, which I would label as conformist, revisionist
and adaptive.
The classic conformist nation
was postwar Japan, the first Asian nation to modernize by imitating the West.
Because of its economic accomplishments and military power, Meiji Japan was
granted limited entry into the European international society as a ‘civilized’
nation, a status that was denied to the European colonies in Asia, such as
India. To be sure, Japan did turn against the western powers when its effort to
dominate its own Asian neighbourhood was challenged. But postwar Japan, despite
its distinct cultural–political style and a plurality of
voices within its academic institutions, retained a largely conformist posture
in the international system, accepting western ideas, rules and institutions
and indeed becoming a significant financial stakeholder in them. Japan might
not have been the ‘yes-man’ of Asia, but it was certainly not,
and still is not, a ‘Japan that can say no’.
This position was in stark contrast
to that of communist China, which occupied the other end of the spectrum as
Asia’s
leading revisionist power. China under the nationalist regime started
out as a conformist nation, but communist China was a different story. ‘From
its birth date,’ writes Chinese historian Chen Jian, ‘Mao’s
China challenged the Western powers in general and the United States in
partic-ular by questioning and, consequently, negating the legitimacy of the “norms
of international relations”.’9
India
remained somewhere in between, occupying what may be best described as an adaptive
position. Jawaharlal Nehru rejected European-style power politics and was
especially scathing about the realist prescriptions for international order
which, as put forward in the 1940s by Nicholas Spykman, Winston Churchill and
Walter Lippmann, would have divided the world into a series of regional blocs,
each under the leadership of a Great Power (including one under India itself ).
Instead, Nehru would propose what he called a ‘world association’
of states that recognized their essential equality. But Nehru never went too
far in his critique of western dominance or in pushing for the creation of an
anti-western bloc in Asia, a fact recognized and appreciated by Britain—though
not the United States. He kept the tone of the Asian Relations Conference of
1947 (of which he was the chief organizer) and the Asia–Africa Conference of 1955 in Bandung
(of which he was a co-sponsor) remarkably moderate. Nehru defended the United
Nations and, for all his early championing of Asian unity and shepherding of
communist China, disagreed with Chou En-lai at Bandung when the latter proposed
a permanent regional association of Asian and African countries to serve China’s
need at a time when it was not recognized by the UN. Nehru’s
concept of ‘non-involvement’
(which later became incorporated into the broader doctrine of ‘non-alignment’)
was in essence an adaptive extension of the western principle of
non-intervention at a time when the two superpowers were violating the doctrine
with impunity.10
9 Chen
Jian, Mao’s China and the Cold War (Chapel Hill: University of North Carolina Press, 2001),
p. 14. 10 Amitav
Acharya, Whose ideas matter? Agency and power in Asian regionalism
(Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press,
2009).
854
International Affairs 87: 4, 2011Copyright ©
2011 The Author(s). International Affairs © 2011 The Royal Institute of
International Affairs.
The predicament and position of
South-East Asian nations were closer to India’s than to China’s
or Japan’s.
They were willing to live within the existing system of international
governance which preserved their independence. With the exception of a brief
spell of revisionism in Indonesia under Sukarno in the 1960s, when he withdrew
the country from the UN and flirted with his own ideas about ‘old
established forces’ (OLDEFOS) and ‘new emerging forces’
(NEFOS), and that of communist Vietnam in the 1970s and 1980s, South-East Asian
states have gener-ally accepted the rules and norms of the international
system, especially those of non-interference, diplomatic interdependence and
the sovereignty and equality of states. Burma’s Aung San and U Nu exemplified this
thinking in the early period, and later the Association of South-East Asian
Nations (ASEAN) spearheaded the emergence of a regional international society
based on adaptations of these rules.
The divergent attitudes and responses
of Asia’s
key nations towards the existing international order meant significant
intraregional differences over how to organize the region and the world at
large. Japan’s
sense of cultural and political supremacy as Asia’s first modernizing nation had
underpinned its quest for an East Asian Co-Prosperity Sphere. But while Japan’s
initial military victories over western powers inspired Asian nationalists, the
Japanese idea of an exclusionary regional economic and political bloc did not.
Thus, Aung San, after flirting for a while with Japan’s ideas, declared that ‘a
new Asian order … will not and must
not be one like the Co-Prosperity Sphere of militarist Japan, nor should it be
another Asiatic Monroe doctrine, nor imperial preference or currency bloc’.
In post-Second World War Asia, wide
differences emerged over the philos-ophy of international economic relations,
especially between China and Japan (the undisputed leader of East Asia’s
market economies). Ironically, India’s approach to economic development
had more in common with that of socialist China than with that of democratic
Japan. One offshoot of the divergent positions of Asia’s three major powers was that none
would be able to lead an Asian regional organi-zation. After the Second World
War doomed Japan’s effort to create an East Asian bloc, Nationalist China
and Nehruvian India (in a competitive way) and India and communist China (in a
more cooperative manner) were the central actors in the period from 1947 to
1955 during which Asia tried to develop a regional multilateral grouping. But
neither would succeed, and eventually the ground was conceded to a group of
South-East Asian countries—Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines,
Thailand and Singapore—which, suspicious of the bigger Asian
powers attempting to lead the region, formed ASEAN in 1967. ASEAN survived
precisely because it was not led by any of the three great Asian powers. The
failure of the latter to provide leadership in building viable regional
institutions—and
the resulting regionalist leadership of the ASEAN members—has
since become a defining feature of Asian regional governance.
Have
matters changed? The end of the Cold War, a common adherence to state-supported
capitalist economic development, and the emergence of Asia-
Quoted in Josef Silverstein, The
political legacy of Aung San, data paper 86 (Ithaca, NY: Department of
Asian Studies, Southeast Asian Program, Cornell University, 1972), p. 101.
wide multilateral regional groupings
like the ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF) and East Asian Summit have effectively put
an end to the conformist–revisionist– adaptive divisions. Today, the
differences between Japan, China, India and ASEAN countries over concepts and
approaches to economic development are hardly fundamental. In foreign policy
terms, India (by abandoning Nehruvian non-alignment) and China (by similarly
ditching Maoism) have both moved closer to Japan’s conformist position. In this sense,
all three Asian powers, China included, are best described as status quo
powers.12 All
have embraced ASEAN-led multilateralism in the region. Ironically, it was the
United States under the administration of George W. Bush that seemed to be the
least conformist power in relation to a world order and governance structure
that under earlier administra-tions it had played a central role in creating.
This apparent convergence of world-views
and approaches does not, however, mean that Asian powers share a common view of
global governance and how to reform global institutions. Some argue that the
simultaneous rise of India and China and their respective moves beyond
non-aligned and socialist ideologies may actually mean greater competition,
rather than cooperation, between them. In this view, India and China have
become essentially similar players in the international system: both are
aspiring Great Powers, equally willing to assert their national interest,
increase their power and influence in the world at large, and resort to the use
of force in international relations. Realists see distinct prospects for an
intensified security dilemma in twenty-first-century Asia not unlike what Europe
experienced in the late nineteenth and early twentieth centuries.
Moreover,
there remain important areas of diversity in contemporary Asian thinking on the
relationships between democracy, regional stability and inter-national order.
While Asian leaders have generally accepted the liberal view that economic
interdependence is a force for peace and that international (including
regional) institutions are useful if not powerful instruments for managing
regional order, sharp divisions remain over the role of democracy, on questions
such as whether democracy promotes development or stagnation (the Lee Kuan Yew
versus Fidel Ramos debate in the 1990s),13 whether democracy is at all a suitable
political arrangement for Asia, and whether democracy is a force for national
and regional stability or a prescription for violence and disorder.14
National
aspirations versus global governance
It is in China, rather than in Japan
or India, and in official as well as academic circles, that a good deal of Asia’s
conceptual thinking about the future of international
12 The
question whether China is status quo or revisionist has attracted some debate.
For the various arguments,
see Alastair Iain Johnston, ‘Is
China a status quo power?’ International Security 27: 4,
Spring 2003, pp. 5–56, and
Social states: China in
international institutions, 1980–2000 (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2008).
13 Fareed
Zakaria, ‘Culture
is destiny: a conversation with Lee Kuan Yew’, Foreign Affairs 73: 2, March–April
1994, pp. 109–26;
Kim Dae Jung, ‘Is
culture destiny? The myth of Asia’s anti-democratic values’,
Foreign Affairs
73: 6, Nov.–Dec. 1994, pp. 189–94.
14 Amitav
Acharya, ‘Democracy
or death? Will democratisation bring greater regional instability to East Asia?’,
Pacific Review 23: 3, July 2010, pp. 335–58.
856
International Affairs 87: 4, 2011Copyright ©
2011 The Author(s). International Affairs © 2011 The Royal Institute of
International Affairs.
order is taking place. This is partly
in response to the international community’s doubts and misgivings about China’s
global role following its spectacular economic, military and political ascent,
doubts that are less pronounced in relation to the role of Japan or India.
Unsurprisingly, therefore, Chinese thinking on international relations today is
to a large extent an attempt to legitimize the rise of China as a fundamentally
positive force in international relations.
China’s
initial conceptualization of the post-Cold War order was presented under the
rubric of ‘multipolarization’.
Consider the following statement, posted on the Chinese foreign ministry’s
website in 2000:
Since the end of the Cold War, the
world has moved towards multi-polarity, and the inter-national situation on the
whole has become more relaxed. This is an objective tendency independent of
people’s
will, reflecting the trend of the development of the present era.
Multi-polarization on the whole helps weaken and curb hegemonism and power
politics, serves to bring about a just and equitable new international
political and economic order and contributes to world peace and development.
But
the concept of multipolarization was dampened by the US victory over Saddam
Hussein’s
Iraq in 1991 and the advent of the so-called ‘unipolar moment’.
This led some Chinese to modify their position by recognizing what they called ‘uni-multipolarity’.
At the same time, Chinese policy and academic discourse (the two are often
inseparable) developed its thesis about China’s ‘peaceful rise’, thereby rejecting the view that China’s
rise would trigger a power transition dynamic that would lead to war with the
United States and other ‘status quo’ powers.
Figure 1: GDP growth rates 2001–2010:
China, India, Japan and the United States (per cent)
GDPGrowth
Rate (%)
14121086
2
0
-‐2-‐4-‐6-‐820002001200220032004200520062007200820092010
|
2000
|
2001
|
2002
|
2003
|
2004
|
2005
|
2006
|
2007
|
2008
|
2009
|
2010
|
|
|
China
|
8.4
|
8.3
|
9.1
|
10
|
10.1
|
10.4
|
11.6
|
11.4
|
8.9
|
8.68
|
10.13
|
|
India
|
3.94
|
5.15
|
4.09
|
8.61
|
6.9
|
8.43
|
9.69
|
9.03
|
7
|
7.56
|
8.5
|
|
Japan
|
2.83
|
0.16
|
0.26
|
1.46
|
2.72
|
1.87
|
2.21
|
2.03
|
-0.7
|
-5.27
|
4.36
|
|
United States
|
4.14
|
1.08
|
1.81
|
2.49
|
3.57
|
3.05
|
2.67
|
1.95
|
0.00
|
-2.63
|
2.40
|
Source: Economic Research Service, US Department of Agriculture,
http://www.ers.usda. gov/.
Figure 2:
Growth rates of defence expenditure, 2000–2009: China, India, Japan and the
United States (per cent)

|
|
2000
|
2001
|
2002
|
2003
|
2004
|
2005
|
2006
|
2007
|
2008
|
2009
|
|
China
|
|
23
|
16
|
9
|
9
|
|
17
|
13
|
|
15
|
|
India
|
|
3
|
0
|
2
|
16
|
6
|
1
|
1
|
12
|
13
|
|
Japan
|
1
|
1
|
1
|
0
|
-1
|
-1
|
-1
|
0
|
-2
|
1
|
|
United States
|
4
|
1
|
12
|
14
|
9
|
5
|
2
|
3
|
7
|
8
|
Source: Stockholm International Peace Research Institute,
http://www.sipri.org/.
Table 1:
National GDP as a percentage of global GDP, 2000–2010: China, India, Japan and United
States
China India Japan United States
2000 3.7 1.4 10.2 29 2001 3.9 1.4
10.0 28 2002 4.2 1.4 9.8 28 2003 4.5 1.5 9.7 28 2004 4.7 1.6 9.6 28 2005 5.1
1.6 9.5 28 2006 5.4 1.7 9.3 28 2007 5.8 1.8 9.2 27 2008 6.3 1.9 8.9 27 2009 7.0
2.1 8.6 27 2010 7.4 2.2 8.7 26
Source:
Economic Research Service, US Department of Agriculture, http://www.ers.
usdagov/.
International Affairs 87: 4, 2011Copyright ©
2011 The Author(s). International Affairs © 2011 The Royal Institute of
International Affairs.
China’s attitude towards and involvement in
global and Asian multilater-alism have changed considerably since 1991—changes
for which its South-East Asian neighbours, working through ASEAN, can
justifiably take some credit. To borrow Iain Johnston’s words, China today is not only a ‘status
quo power’
but also a ‘social
state’.15 In Chinese academia there are moves under way
to develop a ‘Chinese
school of international relations’ based partly on the historical (and
benign) frameworks of the ‘all under heaven’
(Tianxia) concept, the tributary system and the ‘Chinese world order’.16 The Tianxia concept, which stresses
harmony (as opposed to ‘sameness’—possibly to send a signal that China
can be politically different from other nations and still pursue friendship
with them),17 is increasingly invoked by the
Chinese leadership; indeed, President Hu Jintao has defined the objective of
China’s
foreign policy as to ‘jointly construct a harmonious world’.18
But
while China has increased its participation in multilateralism and
global governance, it has not offered leadership. This is explained in
part by inexperi-ence, fear of provoking a backlash from other powers and the
lingering impact of Deng Xiaoping’s caution about Chinese leadership of
the developing world.19 Chen Dongxiao of the Shanghai
Institute for International Studies points to a perception gap between how the
world views China (as an emerging global power) and how China views itself (as
a low-income developing country). Also at play are a desire not to sacrifice
its sovereignty and independence for the sake of multilateralism and global
governance, and the impact of domestic factors such as increasingly diverse
interest groups, lack of sufficient institutional coordina-tion for
implementing international agreements, and limited integration between domestic
and international considerations in decision-making within China about
15 Johnston,
‘Is
China a status quo power?’
16 Qin
Yaqin, ‘Why
is there no Chinese IR theory?’, International Relations of the
Asia–Pacific 7: 3, September 2007 (special issue
on ‘Why
is there no non-western international relations theory?’, ed. Amitav Acharya and Barry
Buzan), pp. 313–40.
On the Chinese world order, see John K. Fairbank, The Chinese world order:
traditional China’s foreign relations (Cambridge, MA: Harvard University
Press, 1973).
17 Zhao
Tingyang, Tianxia tixi: shijie zhidu zhexue daolun [The Tianxia system:
a philosophy for the world institution] (Nanjing: Jiangsu Jiaoyu Chubanshe,
2005; trans. for the author by Shanshan Mei); Yu Keping, ‘We
must work to create a harmonious world’, 2007,
http://china.org.cn/english/international/210305.htm, accessed 6 June 2011. For
a critical view, see William A. Callahan, ‘Chinese visions of world order:
post-hegemonic or a new hegemony?’ International Studies Review
10: 4, 2008, pp. 749–61.
18 Hu
Jintao, ‘Making
great efforts to build a harmonious world with long-lasting peace and common
pros-perity’,
speech to the UN General Assembly marking the 60th anniversary of the
establishment of the United Nations, 15 Sept. 2005,
http://www.ce-desd.org/site/Articles/cat.asp?iCat=1048&iChannel=Articles,
accessed 15 June 2011.
19 Deng’s
words, often misquoted and misinterpreted, did not rule out Chinese leadership,
but took a very cautious position. On 24 Dec. 1990 he stated: ‘Some
developing countries would like China to become the leader of the Third World.
But we absolutely cannot do that—this is one of our basic state
policies. We can’t afford to do it and besides, we aren’t
strong enough. There is nothing to be gained by playing that role; we would
only lose most of our initiative. China will always side with the Third World
countries, but we shall never seek hegemony over them or serve as their leader.
Nevertheless, we cannot simply do nothing in international affairs; we have to
make our contribution. In what respect? I think we should help promote the
establishment of a new international political and economic order’.
See ‘Seize
the opportunity to develop the economy’, 24 Dec. 1990,
http://chairmanmaozedong.org/article/744.html, accessed 6 June 2011. Deng’s
dictum derived from his assessment of China’s limited capacity to lead and a fear
of overreaching. See Wang Zaibang, ‘The architecture and efficiency of
global governance’, in Alan S. Alexandroff, David Shorr and Wang Ziabang,
eds, Leadership and the global governance agenda: three voices, June
2010, http://www. stanleyfoundation.org/publications/report/3_Voices_0.pdf,
accessed 6 June 2011, pp. 16–17.
issues of global governance. Together
these factors, Chen argues, mean that ‘China would, at its best, be capable
of playing “part
time leader”
in [a] selected way’.20
This ambivalence was demonstrated in
China’s
recent reluctance to take the lead in allowing its ample financial resources
play a direct role in alleviating the impact of the global financial crisis of
2008. At the time, President Hu Jintao argued that ‘the Chinese economy is increasingly
interconnected with the global economy … China’s sound economic growth is in itself
a major contribution to global financial stability and economic growth. This is
why we must first and foremost run our own affairs well.’21
China has been less reticent in
assuming a position of regional leadership, as exemplified in its promotion of
the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) and the idea of an East Asian
Community. But even here China has been a cautious exponent, backtracking in
the face of resistance to any real or perceived effort on its part to drive the
membership and agenda of the East Asian institutions.
While China continues to grapple with
the issue of its leadership in world affairs, Japan’s national role conception, and its
foreign policy and security approach, are being redefined by the idea of a ‘normal
state’.
In his 1993 book, Blueprint for a new Japan, the leader of the
Democratic Party of Japan, Ichiro Ozawa, used the term ‘normal state’ as a way of reclaiming Japan’s
right to use force, albeit only in support of UN-sanctioned operations.22 But
under former Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi (2001–2006), Japan’s aspiration to ‘normal
statehood’
came to reflect some stark strategic motivations: to hedge against any drawdown
of US forces in the region, to counter the rise of China and the growing threat
from North Korea, and to increase Japan’s participation in collective
military operations in the Indian Ocean and Persian Gulf regions. It was also a
response to growing domestic pressures on the Japanese government to address
its perceived inability to respond to foreign security threats. The concept
could also be used to counter and dilute some of the constitutional limits on
Japanese diplomacy and power projection at a time when Japan was under pressure
to do more for the US–Japan alliance.23
Some
have viewed Japan’s aspiration to be a ‘normal state’ as a welcome step towards a more
proactive approach to global governance. If Japan as a normal state were free
to deploy its forces internationally, as Ozawa had envisaged, it could make a
bigger contribution to international peacekeeping, anti-terrorism and
anti-piracy operations, hence to key aspects of global security governance. In
the economic arena, as Takashi Inoguchi puts it, ‘The globalization of governance
20 Chen Dongxiao, ‘China’s perspective on global governance and G20’, http://www.siis.org.cn/en/zhuanti_
view_en.aspx?id=10051, accessed 6
June 2011. This does not mean, however, that Chinese commentators have
been shy of referring to China’s
inevitable (re-)emergence as a Great Power. China is also the world leader in
doing
‘comprehensive
national power’
estimates relative to other powers. 21 Japan Times, 11 Nov. 2008. 22 Andrew
Horvat, ‘Why
Ichiro Ozawa is America’s true hope and why Shinzo Abe never
was’,
Policy Forum
online 07-087A, 30 November 2007 (San
Francisco: Nautilus Institute, 2007), http://www.nautilus.org/
publications/essays/napsnet/forum/security107087Horvat.html,
accessed 15 June 2011. 23 Bhubhindar Singh, ‘Japan’s
post-Cold War security policy: bringing back the normal state’,
Contemporary
Southeast
Asia 24: 1, 2002, pp. 82–105.
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2011 The Author(s). International Affairs © 2011 The Royal Institute of
International Affairs.
entails more integrated markets, the
global diffusion of military weapons, and the global permeation of public elite
culture … Astute, articulate
and agile leaders must always be mindful of domestic audiences and yet must act
globally—and decisively.’24 To act accordingly with this imperative, Japan
must move beyond its postwar constitutional constraints. Importantly, Inoguchi
cites the Japanese naval deployment to the Indian Ocean to support US
operations in West Asia as one example of normal statehood, alongside its
support for negotiations to advance free trade in Asia.
In 2005 Japan’s foreign minister (and later,
briefly, prime minister), Taro Aso, spoke of Japan as a ‘thought
leader’
of Asia.25 Japan
has been a pioneer of regional cooperation in Asia and the Pacific. In 1993 it
helped broker a pathway to multilateral security cooperation by suggesting that
the ASEAN Post-Minis-terial Conferences be used as the platform for regional
security dialogues that resulted in the ARF (although here Japan was drawing on
ideas already circulating in Asia–Pacific second-track dialogues rather
than espousing an entirely original formula). The Japanese contribution to
concepts of regional economic governance has been more substantive. Japanese
officials and scholars were at the forefront of the Pacific Community movement
in the 1960s, 1970s and 1980s, which stressed ‘open regionalism’
as East Asia (defined here as a subset of the Pacific Rim or Asia–Pacific
region) went through its ‘economic miracle’
riding on the wave of Japanese investment and aid that also created de facto
regional integration. The 1997 Japanese proposal to develop an Asian Monetary
Fund (which some saw as a challenge to the authority of the IMF) further
attested to Japan’s interest in regional economic cooperation, but the
Japanese initiative faded quickly in the face of strong US opposition. Japan
has actively sought a permanent seat in the UN Security Council, and is willing
to collaborate with India (which it has in the past defeated in a bid for a
temporary seat), but it is not clear whether this move reflects any genuine
desire to change the basic rules of the global multilat-eral system or rather a
desire simply to win itself due recognition for its abundant financial and
other contributions to the UN system.
Inoguchi
argues that Japan has ‘become one of the major rule makers
relin-quishing the role of a rule taker in global governance in a number of
policy areas’.
Among the niche areas he identifies are attempts to reconcile different
concep-tions of human rights, developing ‘rules and norms of transnational
business transactions’ and peaceful uses of nuclear energy.26 But these rules and norms do not necessarily
represent a fundamental rethinking of the contemporary global
24 Takashi Inoguchi, ‘Japan’s ambition for normal statehood’, http://www.glocom.org/opinions/essays/200302_
inoguchi_japan/0302inoguchi.pdf,
accessed 6 June 2011, p. 17. 25 ‘Asian
strategy as I see it: Japan as the “thought leader”
of Asia’,
speech by Minister for Foreign Affairs Taro
Aso at the Foreign Correspondents’
Club of Japan, available at: http://www.mofa.go.jp/announce/fm/aso/
speech0512.html, accessed 6 June
2011. For Aso, a thought leader is a ‘trailblazer and a problem solver’:
‘as
I
perceive it, a thought leader is one
who through fate is forced to face up against some sort of very difficult issue
earlier than others. And because the
issue is so challenging, it is difficult to solve. But as the person struggles
to
somehow resolve the issue, he/she becomes something for others to emulate.’
26 Takashi
Inoguchi, ‘Why
are there no non-western theories of international relations? The case
of Japan’, International Relations of the
Asia–Pacific 7: 3, 2007 (special issue on ‘Why
is there no non-western
international relations theory?’,
ed. Amitav Acharya and Barry Buzan), pp. 369–90.
governance structure. Japan continues
to be a conformist status quo power. Hence, when the current global financial
turmoil erupted in 2008, Japan’s main response was to offer to
strengthen the IMF’s coffers rather than to put all its resources into
developing the fledgling regional financial reserve under the Chiang Mai
Initiative (CMI). And Japan, like China, indicated that ‘Japan’s
primary responsibility lies in invigorating its own economy … this would be the most immediately
effective contribution that Japan can deliver.’27
Speaking
to an annual assembly of overseas Indians in 2005, Prime Minister Manmohan
Singh asserted that ‘the 21st Century will be an Indian Century’.
His prognosis was defined in economic and political terms: ‘The
world will once again look at us with regard and respect, not just for the
economic progress we make but for the democratic values we cherish and uphold
and the principles of pluralism and inclusiveness we have come to represent
which is India’s
heritage as a centuries old culture and civilization.’28 Although Singh refrained from trumpeting India
as an emerging global power, Barack Obama, like George W. Bush before him, did
so more explicitly when he pledged America’s support for India in realizing this
goal during a visit to Delhi in November 2010.29 Indian commentators and media have not been
reticent either, although they may be happy to quote western policy-makers and
analysts to make the same point.30 Arguably, there is more, and louder, media and
policy talk about India as a global power in Delhi than there is similar talk
about China as a global power in Beijing.
India’s policy of non-alignment has not
been replaced by any alternative broad organizing framework. In fact, neither
non-alignment nor Nehru has been formally and officially disavowed by India’s
post-Cold War governments. Never-theless, in his 2003 book Crossing the
Rubicon, Indian analyst C. Raja Mohan made a powerful case that India was
reverting to a Curzonian geopolitics,31 replacing both the Gandhian world-view that
first made its appearance roughly a century ago and the Nehruvian idealism that
defined the country’s foreign policy in the twentieth century. The Curzonian
approach assumed Indian centrality in the Asian heart-land, and envisaged a
proactive and expansive Indian diplomatic and military role in stabilizing Asia
as a whole. The end of the Bharatiya Janata Party government in 2004 might have
slowed if not ended that transition, but Indian power projec-tion in both
western and eastern Indian Ocean waters is growing, reflecting a Mahanian
rather than Nehruvian bent.32 It is partly driven by a desire, encouraged
27 Japan
Times, 11 Nov. 2008.28 ‘PM’s inaugural speech at Pravasi
Bharatiya Divas’,
Mumbai, 7 Jan. 2005, http://www.pmindia.nic.in/speech/
content.asp?id=65,
accessed 6 June 2011. 29 ‘US
supports India as global power: Obama’. Headlines India, 8 Nov.
2010, http://headlinesindia.mapsofindia.
com/india-and-world/united-states/us-supports-india-as-global-power-obama-67670.html,
accessed 6 June
2011.
On a previous occasion, Obama had already described India as ‘a
leader in Asia and around the world’ and
as
‘a
rising power and a responsible global power’. See ‘India is a rising and responsible
global power: Obama’,
Times
of India, 4 June 2010,
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/India-is-a-rising-and-responsible-
global-power-Obama/articleshow/6009870.cms,
accessed 6 June 2011. 30 See V. R. Raghavan, ‘India
and the global power shift’,
http://www.delhipolicygroup.com/pdf/india_and_
the_global_power_shift.pdf,
accessed 6 June 2011. 31 C. Raja Mohan, Crossing the
Rubicon: the shaping of India’s new foreign policy (New Delhi: Viking, 2003). 32 Mahanian
refers to the perspective of Alfred Theyer Mahan (1840–1914), who stressed dominance of the
sea
as key to Great Power status.
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International Affairs.
by the US and the South-East Asian
countries, to assume the role of a ‘regional balancer’
vis-à-vis China (whereas Nehru pioneered Asia’s
engagement of commu-nist China) , although India avoids both any outright
containment of China and any offer of unconditional support to the US strategic
framework vis-à-vis China.
Indian interest in advancing global
governance is limited by its concern to advance its national power position in
the international system through high growth rates, expertise in information
and communications technologies, nuclear weapons capability and space dreams
(now a partial reality). Commenting on its stance on global issues ranging from
nuclear non-proliferation, climate change and human rights to corruption,
veteran journalist Barbara Crosette calls India the country that gives ‘global
governance the biggest headache’.33 India has grounds for feeling that its
contribution to global governance is being stymied by other powers—for
example, through the continuing resistance from the West (and China) to its
desire to be recognized as a nuclear weapon state, entitling it to join the
Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty on that basis. Like Japan, India has sought a
permanent seat in the UN Security Council, a dream that seems destined to
remain unfulfilled for some time, despite the Obama administration’s
recent backing. It has done better in the G20 forum, but even in that context
there do not seem to be any obvious Indian ideas or blueprints to inspire the
reform and restructuring of the global multilateral order. Within Asia itself,
India has returned to the fold of Asian regionalism, but—in
stark contrast to the Nehru era—as a follower rather than as a
leader. And its regional involvement is much stronger in its economic dimension
than in its political and security one, even though it remains excluded from
the Asia–Pacific
Economic Cooperation forum (APEC).
Asia’s role in global governance cannot be
delinked from the question: who leads Asia? Historically, aside from the mutual
rivalry of the region’s main powers, three factors have
determined the issue of Asian leadership: political will, resource capacity and
regional legitimacy. In the years immediately following the Second World War,
India had high legitimacy in Asia and was more than willing to lead, but was
unable to do so due to a lack of resources. Japan’s case was exactly the opposite: it
had the resources (from the mid-1960s onwards) to be Asia’s
leader, but not the legitimacy—thanks to memories of its
imperialism, for which it was deemed by its neighbours to have been
insufficiently apologetic. Japan’s involvement in regional leadership
was deliberately low-key, cautious and exercised mostly through development aid
and promotion of ideas about regional economic cooperation, leaving the
political–security
domain aside altogether. China, for its part, at that time had neither the
resources, nor the legitimacy (since the communist takeover), nor the political
will (at the onset of the reform era) to be Asia’s leader.
In
Asia today, although Japan, China increasingly and India to a lesser extent all
have the resources to lead, all still suffer from a deficit of regional
legitimacy
33 Barbara
Crosette, ‘The
elephant in the room: the biggest pain in Asia isn’t the country you’d
think’,
Foreign
Policy, Jan.–Feb. 2010,
http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2010/01/04/the_elephant_in_the_room,
accessed 10 June 2011.
deriving from past histories (the
Japanese wartime role, Chinese subversion and Indian diplomatic arrogance,
dating back to the Bandung conference). Moreover, their mutual rivalry prevents
the Asian powers from assuming regional leadership singly or collectively.
Hence, regional leadership rests with a group of the region’s
weaker states. ASEAN is not entirely without merit or contribution, but while
it is a useful and influential voice in regional affairs, some doubt its
ability to manage Asia—home to three of the world’s
four largest economies, four (excluding Russia) of its eight nuclear weapon
states and its fastest-growing military forces.
Asia and the
G20: an uncertain trumpet
Since 2008 the global economic crisis
has provided new opportunities for Asia to assume a greater role in global
economic governance, especially through participa-tion in the G20. The G20 was
by no means an Asian idea;34 Canada’s former prime minister Paul Martin
is credited for it, even though its composition—the crucial issue of whom to invite—might
have been decided by US Treasury officials and those of the Deutsche
Bundesbank.35 Nevertheless, the G20 does have an Asian
lineage. Four Asian countries that were later to become members of the G20—
China, Japan, India and Indonesia—attended the Bandung Conference in
1955, and the number increases to six if Saudi Arabia and Turkey are included.36 The Bandung Conference had several major and
long-term implications for inter-national order, chief among them the genesis
of the Non-Aligned Movement. It provided a powerful impetus for pan-African and
pan-Arab movements led respectively by Nkrumah (who was prevented by the
British from attending) and Nasser (who was a star of the meeting, but whose
country today is conspicuously not a G20 member). It advanced decolonization
and symbolized the appeal of economic self-reliance in the Third World, thereby
delaying the march of market-driven globalization which has since underpinned
the G20’s
rise to prominence.
But
there are key differences. Bandung was exclusively an intra-South event,
whereas the G20 is a North–South forum. Bandung’s
focus was political, whereas the G20’s is primarily economic, at least to
date. Some of the key country partici-pants in Bandung that are now in the G20
have in the meantime changed dramati-cally and irreversibly. For Japan, Bandung
was the first foray into international diplomacy after defeat in the Second
World War. The country has since emerged as a key player in Asia and the world.
Bandung was communist China’s debut on the world diplomatic
stage. A poor and fledgling communist country, China
34 See
the ‘official
history’
of the G20, ‘The
Group of Twenty: a history’, http://www.g20.utoronto.ca/docs/
g20history.pdf,
accessed 6 June 2011. 35 Robert Wade, ‘From global imbalances to global
reorganizations’,
Cambridge Journal of Economics 33: 4, 2009,
p. 553.
36 ‘Asian’ is not the preferred identity of
either Saudi Arabia or Turkey today; certainly doubts are in order in Turkey’s
case, given its fervent if unrequited wish to join Europe. The only Asian G20
member that did not take part in Bandung was South Korea (neither Korean state
was invited). Australia, which shares with Turkey the problem of ambivalent
regional identity, did not even want to be invited to Bandung. For more on
attitudes to the Bandung Conference, including the hostile attitudes of the UK
and US, see Amitav Acharya, ‘Lessons of Bandung, then and now’,
Financial Times, 22 April 2005.
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2011 The Author(s). International Affairs © 2011 The Royal Institute of
International Affairs.
then easily invited mistrust; Nehru
did his very best (at the cost of his own image and India’s
influence) to project China as a constructive Asian neighbour rather than as a
communist mischief-maker and an integral member of the Sino-Soviet communist
monolith, as the Eisenhower administration was doing its best to project it.
China is now the world’s emerging superpower, and a valuable
and vital member of the global governance architecture. India, as noted, no
longer professes Nehruvian non-alignment, and is no longer the leader of Asian
unity, having long since ceded that role to ASEAN. Indonesia at Bandung was on
the verge of sliding into authoritarianism; as a G20 member, it is held up as a
shining example of Asian democracy. The global South is no longer led by the
likes of Nehru, Nasser or Nkrumah, but headed today by technocrats like
Manmohan Singh and Hu Jintao—a transition that within Asia is
further embodied by transi-tion from firebrand ideologues such as Mao and
Sukarno to the introverted Singh and Susilo Bambang Yudhowono.
Despite these changes, India, China
and Indonesia continue to identify themselves as developing nations and are subject
to the lingering normative legacy of their involvement in the Third World
coalition. For example, India and China stake out positions on the global
economy and ecology that are still framed in their predicament and perspective
as developing nations. For them, the pursuit of national development goals
takes priority over compliance with the West’s demands for greener standards.
Whether
the G20 will develop concrete institutional capacity or even emerge as a viable
and permanent global institution sharing decision-making and agenda-setting
powers with the G7 and the Bretton Woods institutions is far from clear. As
Chen Dongxiao notes, the G20 is not a group of like-minded nations, but one in
which cooperation among the emerging powers is ‘issue-based and interest-oriented’.
The establishment of cooperation and coordination among these powers is
hindered by ‘the
fact that the economies and trade interests among these emerging powers are
more competitive than complementary’.37 Moreover, the G20 is something of an exclusive
club, plagued by questions about its represen-tativeness and legitimacy.
According to two Indonesian analysts, although the G20’s emergence as ‘the
premier forum for international economic cooperation’ is ‘historic … from the perspective of global
governance as well as the role of Asia in the global economy’,
there are many challenges that have
to be dealt with first. Countries in the region have to showcase their
abilities in sustaining high economic growth, maintaining political stability
and working towards closer regional integration. An approach that relies on a
politicised and formal structure will not suit the dynamics in a region which
is economic growth-oriented and market-driven.38
Asia
does not speak as one voice within the G20. On the issue of reforming global
financial regulation, a key concern of the G20, the ‘lack of a unified Asian
37 Chen,
‘China’s
perspective on global governance and G20’.
38 Mahendra Siregar and Tuti Irman, ‘G20 and the global agenda: a bigger role for Asia’, http://www.
38 Mahendra Siregar and Tuti Irman, ‘G20 and the global agenda: a bigger role for Asia’, http://www.
eastasiaforum.org/2010/11/09/g20-the-global-agenda-a-bigger-role-for-asia/,
accessed 6 June 2011.
voice’ has made it easier for America and
Europe to set the terms, sometimes to the detriment of Asia’s
interests. For example, Lee Jang Yung, senior deputy governor of South Korea’s
Financial Supervisory Service, complains that Asian countries ‘are
facing significant challenges in meeting’ the liquidity standards set under
the Basel III framework.39
Nations represented at Bandung,
including Nehru’s India, Mao’s China and Nasser’s
Egypt, harboured no illusions about achieving global Great Power status,
whether individually or collectively. Asia’s G20 members all aspire to be
leaders not just of their region but of the world. Indeed, they (even in the
case of middle powers like Indonesia and South Korea) may be using the G20 to
leapfrog Asia.
Asian approaches to the other major
issue on the global governance agenda, climate change, are by no means shared
or suggestive of an act of global leadership. China and India are leading the
resistance to the demand for deeper cuts to carbon emissions. Both use the
argument that, as developing nations, they need more time before accepting the
slower growth rates (in both economic development and carbon emissions) that
the western nations are prepared to accept now. At the 2010 Boao Forum held in
China’s
Hainan Island, India’s Environment Minister Jairam Ramesh described cooperation
between India and China on climate change and environment as ‘one
of the outstanding success stories of this bilateral relation-ship’—but
he also conceded that the two countries ‘might not be on the same page as far
as emissions are concerned’.40 At the Copenhagen meeting in 2009,
India agreed to accept a non-binding target of cutting CO2 emissions per unit of GDP by 20–25
per cent from 2005 levels by 2020, whereas China ‘set a “binding goal” to cut CO2 per unit of GDP by 40–45% from 2005 levels by 2020’.41 But China, like India, refuses to accept the
proposed global target of cutting emissions by at least 50 per cent relative to
1990 levels by 2050.42 Moreover, in what Ramesh described as a ‘paradigm
shift’
in both India and China, the two countries have adopted a posture of concerted
unilateralism (‘we have to do these things on our own’),
rather than outright multilateralism, in approaching the carbon emissions
issue. This means, as Ramesh put it, that the two countries pursue carbon
emission cuts through their own domestic policy processes and have thus ‘delinked
emissions control actions from the international negotiations’.43 Their defensive position hardly meets Amartya
Sen’s
desire, noted above, to see Asia ‘leading the world opinion on how to
manage, and in particular not to mismanage, the global challenges we face today’.
Relations
among the Asian G20 members remain competitive. China has not been supportive
of the bids by India and Japan to acquire permanent seats in
39 ‘Asia regulators say G20 reform driven
by US, Europe’,
http://blogs.reuters.com/financial-regulatory
forum/2010/11/29/asia-regulators-say-g20-reform-driven-by-u-s-europe/,
accessed 6 June 2011. 40 Anantha Krishnan, ‘Climate
cooperation changing India–China ties, says Jairam Ramesh’,
The Hindu, 9 April
2010,
http://beta.thehindu.com/news/international/article392921.ece, accessed 6 June
2011. 41 ‘Where countries stand on Copenhagen’,
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/8345343.stm, accessed 6 June 2011. 42 Pan
Jiahua, ‘Low
carbon logic’,
8 Nov. 2010, http://www.chinadialogue.net/article/show/single/en/3927
Low-carbon-logic,
accessed 6 June 2011. 43 ‘India–China
climate cooperation thrives with the “spirit of Copenhagen”’,
http://www.chinafaqs.org/blog
posts/india-china-climate-cooperation-thrives-spirit-copenhagen,
accessed 6 June 2011.
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2011 The Author(s). International Affairs © 2011 The Royal Institute of
International Affairs.
the UN Security Council, even though
such a development would be consis-tent with China’s own ‘multi-polarization’
concept. This apparent contradiction has prompted some analysts to accuse China
of seeking global multipolarity but regional unipolarity. At Bandung in 1955
there was the perception, exaggerated by the western media, of a Sino-Indian
competition. Today, there is similar talk of rivalry between China and India,
as well as competition between China and Japan, which was in no position to
compete at Bandung. There is the danger that competition among the Asian G20
members could spill over into other parts of Asia, including South-East Asia,
just as China and India competed over African resources and markets, or Russia,
China and Brazil over arms sales to African countries. In the meantime,
countries left out of the G20 (for example, Singapore and Malaysia) are
resentful of those (Indonesia) who are savouring their new status in global
affairs.
Conclusion
‘China,
Japan can help by helping themselves’, ran the headline of a Japan
Times commentary by journalist Frank Ching on Chinese and Japanese
responses to the global financial crisis that broke out in 2008.44 Admittedly, they have—or at least China has—already
done so. But the headline is remarkably revealing. What it tells us is that
Asian countries approach global governance largely in terms of self-help. While
Asian conceptions of international relations are no longer a defensive or
confrontational reaction to western dominance, there remains a perceptible gap
between Asia’s
rise in terms of the traditional power indices of international relations and
the requirements for global governance. The gap may be explained partly by
resentment against western resistance to the desire of Asian countries to
increase their influence over global institutions commensurately with their
rise in the global power structure. But it is not unreasonable to doubt whether
a larger say over global institutions will yield a greater willingness on the
part of Asian powers to go beyond their ‘helping others by helping themselves’
mindset. There is also little question that intra-Asian differences and
rivalries will hinder any bid by Asia to assume a greater share of the
leadership in global governance.
I started this article by referring
to the ‘seeming
contradiction’
between the national power aspirations of leading Asian nations and their role
as contributors to global governance. The two goals need not compete with each
other. But as the analysis above suggests, changing national role conceptions,
such as China’s
ideas about ‘multi-polarization’
and ‘peaceful
rise’,
Japan’s
quest for ‘normal’
statehood, and India’s seeming embrace of Curzon and Mahan at the expense of
Gandhi and Nehru, do not translate into support for global governance. The
obvious answer to Amartya Sen’s question posed at the outset of
this article is that Asia is doing more than before, but this is still
far from doing enough.
If
one looks for Asian ideas about and approaches to multilateralism and
gover-nance, some of these might well be found at the regional level, and for
these the
44 Japan
Times, 11 Nov. 2008.
credit might belong to the region’s
weaker nations, ASEAN’s members, rather than Asia’s
larger powers. Asia offers a type of regionalism which is both home-grown and
distinct from the European type. Asian regionalism offers three key ideas.
First, regionalism does not require hegemonic leadership, whether coercive or
benign. Second, regionalism does not have to rely on formal, legalistic or
politically unifying platforms—regionalism in markets can be
equally, if not more, important. Third, regionalism should be open and
inclusive, in both its economic and its political–strategic dimensions. Indeed, despite
their limitations, the experience of groupings like ASEAN is perhaps more
relevant to other parts of the developing world than the much-vaunted European
experience, which is far too committed to an ideology of unification (now under
serious stress) to serve as a model for the developing world.45
The story of Asian regionalism to
date is far from perfect. There are valid doubts about the ability of Asian
regional institutions—led as they are by the relatively
resource-poor ASEAN—to address the region’s most serious conflicts (in the
Korean peninsula, between India and Pakistan, and across the Taiwan Strait) or
cope with transnational challenges without a significant shift away from the
region’s
prevailing neo-Westphalian mindset. Asia lags behind other regions in
developing mechanisms for promoting human rights and democracy, and
institutionalizing new global norms such as the ‘responsibility to protect’.
But a ‘non-indifference’
mindset and a ‘responsibility
to assist’
principle may be emerging out of Asia’s recent brush with a series of
transnational threats, including the Asian financial crisis in 1997, the Bali
terrorist attacks in 2001 and 2002, the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome
(SARS) pandemic in 2003, the Indian Ocean tsunami in 2004, and Cyclone Nargis
in Burma in 2008. This is an important, if as yet modest, shift from defensive
sovereignty to responsible sovereignty. At the same time, Asian regional groups
have contributed to regional and global stability in engaging with all the
major powers of the world, including China (where they have arguably done a
better job than the EU and NATO in engaging with Russia).
Although
regionalism and globalism are sometimes seen as opposing forces, and despite
the danger that the global power aspirations of key Asian nations might tempt
them to neglect regional cooperation, Asian regionalism has the potential to
pave the way for a more concerted and consequential Asian globalism and gover-nance.
These are not mutually incompatible directions. Asian regional institu-tions
may not resolve all of the region’s vexing security and economic
challenges, but they may be useful as a potential means of tempering the
hitherto singular and nationalistic efforts by the individual Asian powers to
claim their seats at the table of global decision-making bodies. Indeed, while
pursuing its engage-ment with global institutions and processes, Asia could do
well by beginning its response to global problems at home, a strategy all the
more justified given that so many of the major global problems today—climate
change, energy supply,
45 Amitav
Acharya, ‘Regional
worlds in a post-hegemonic era’, keynote address to the third Garnet
annual
conference, Bordeaux, 17–20
Sept. 2008, http://spirit.sciencespobordeaux.fr/Cahiers%20de%20SPIRIT/
Cahiers%20de%20SPIRIT_1_Acharya.pdf,
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868
International Affairs 87: 4, 2011Copyright ©
2011 The Author(s). International Affairs © 2011 The Royal Institute of
International Affairs.
pandemics, illegal migration, etc.—have
local roots in Asia just as they do in other regions of the world. Asian
regional institutions, formal and informal, are already responding to global
issues, including climate change (ASEAN, APEC), financial volatility (CMI) and
terrorism (ASEAN, ARF and a web of cross-cutting bilateral and subregional
agreements). Much depends on whether Asian regional institu-tions can
strengthen themselves with more robust financial stability and conflict
management mechanisms, and move towards a more flexible view of state
sover-eignty through which to deal with transnational challenges. But by
engaging with common issues of global governance at the regional level, Asian
powers can limit their intramural conflicts. By gaining experience in dealing
with complex trans-national issues, securing legitimacy from peaceful
interaction with neighbours, and sharing leadership with the region’s
weaker states in managing its security and economic conflicts, Asia’s
emerging powers can derive from their regional interac-tions useful experience
and expertise that could facilitate a substantive contribu-tion to global
governance from a position of leadership and strength. The time is ripe for
them to make a serious start now.









